Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 89785.179948 94703.017235 99617.913245 104895.060448 110397.351111 115961.802704 122011.009209
2025-06-29 81112.639619 88596.031259 96282.995145 104758.862831 113831.833954 123242.156666 133729.601437
2025-07-06 74944.902439 84165.620671 93844.954628 104741.947180 116646.432338 129234.837979 143530.892202
2025-07-13 71339.893934 81982.615597 93356.348576 106380.389993 120845.150438 136380.656083 154290.574540
2025-07-20 68314.657913 80106.615657 92906.924161 107782.079162 124538.833717 142776.803364 164072.120526
2025-07-27 65407.327034 78119.062672 92114.611095 108596.014410 127399.512126 148108.592433 172563.699384
2025-08-03 62448.894997 75876.817634 90857.163840 108716.345976 129331.341776 152282.618713 179665.564760
2025-08-10 59977.936339 74047.997602 89937.967353 109097.528188 131452.127178 156587.412335 186857.642920
2025-08-17 57582.261770 72180.199356 88858.990957 109186.188311 133143.548869 160331.290019 193359.634085
2025-08-24 56036.478260 71232.969093 88781.748629 110379.421958 136068.609381 165466.829627 201462.060843
2025-08-31 53897.702587 69478.192283 87662.334782 110259.824701 137382.409976 168677.353455 207290.587966
2025-09-07 52771.902375 68895.071900 87894.187132 111711.499196 140531.161670 174029.746058 215646.033010
2025-09-14 51351.887952 67915.453802 87625.511541 112553.997174 142966.766456 178580.007156 223128.759161
2025-09-21 49644.455011 66518.512977 86796.205344 112670.682820 144496.407005 182039.038178 229321.639151
2025-09-28 48007.035237 65148.489828 85945.533173 112711.635548 145894.930899 185316.959506 235291.677310
2025-10-05 47304.173407 64928.838168 86495.262934 114464.073798 149381.395651 191123.118412 244343.063177
2025-10-12 46525.528781 64577.331709 86851.784337 115954.750768 152535.747365 196531.879718 252938.596452
2025-10-19 45504.606823 63874.037043 86731.358538 116819.195398 154895.243215 200965.947549 260358.640124
2025-10-26 44206.226735 62765.372744 86056.351545 116947.042957 156307.187131 204220.763673 266331.404338
2025-11-02 43096.807434 61868.830232 85620.858429 117351.562414 158046.950324 207872.499084 272801.673379
2025-11-09 41908.147049 60829.570441 84967.219733 117445.648151 159370.513890 210994.828168 278617.183044
2025-11-16 41271.734505 60508.325557 85230.420534 118711.715163 162183.615647 215987.441607 286792.164412
2025-11-23 40088.842827 59412.549460 84445.524213 118584.825248 163188.410257 218695.351406 292103.026564